NFL Football Week 6 — This Weekend's Best Bets

Thursday, October 12, 2017 at 9:14 a.m.

We need to recover from our first losing week of the season,

We have to recuperate from our first dropping week of the season,

Photograph by Jack Gorman

Nicely, it needed to occur ultimately. After six weeks of avoiding a dropping weekly mark, I used to be within the pink final weekend. Fact be advised, in actual life, I used to be three-three, as I received Tampa Bay at +5.5 and prevented the push towards New England. However I’m trustworthy, if nothing else, and right here I’m going by the chances posted on the time that I write my picks.

So now we have to get again to our profitable methods. We’re nonetheless 60 % on the season, however it was extra enjoyable once we have been hovering round sixty five %. Let’s have some enjoyable! GAMBLING IS FUN! Right here we go, three school video games and three NFL video games…

INDIANA +7.5 over Michigan
Michigan continues to be a really public group, regardless of the loss to Michigan State final week. Individuals take a look at Jim Harbaugh and get swept up in his bluster and creepy recruiting tales, they usually get intoxicated by the Michigan helmets. This would possibly not occur ceaselessly, so we should take benefit now. Indiana, regardless of its zero-2 report within the Massive Ten and two blowout losses to Ohio State and Penn State, isn’t a nasty group. They did some good issues in these video games, and allowed the floodgates to open on them. Towards Ohio State, they have been the higher group for two.5 quarters. They could not beat Michigan, however I like them getting multiple rating.

WISCONSIN -17 over Purdue
I have been on Purdue all season, and it is paid off with a season win complete ticket already cashed (over 2.5 wins, they’ve gained three video games) and a pleasant late cowl final week towards Minnesota. Purdue head coach Jeff Brohm has been doing it with a bit hocus pocus, although. That stuff tends to not work towards groups which might be simply bodily superior to the Boilermakers, like when Michigan grinded out a win by 18 a couple of weeks in the past and obtained a canopy within the second half. I feel this one is dangerous information for Purdue as Wisconsin simply strains up and reminds Brohm how a lot work continues to be left to do.

ALABAMA -30 over Arkansas
Arkansas is an absolute practice wreck, Bret Bielema has the most well liked seat within the SEC, and Nick Saban’s crew is coming off a single-digit win over Texas A&M in a recreation the place they have been 26.5-level favorites, which can as nicely be a loss so far as Sabam is worried. Alabama wins this one by forty or extra.

TEXANS -9.5 over Browns
With a majority of the league sobering across the 2-three or three-2 mark, it is essential to smell out who the TRUE good and dangerous groups are. Fortuitously, this isn’t a type of video games the place we have to do this. After dropping J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus to season ending accidents final week, the Texans get the precise tonic they want on this spot — Cleveland adopted by the bye week. The Browns are beginning Kevin Hogan for the primary time in his profession (the Browns twenty eighth totally different beginning QB since 1999), so this could permit Mike Vrabel’s protection to get properly, and I feel Deshaun Watson places up greater than 30 factors once more. Texans by 20.

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